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What’s the world record for someone holding their breath?

How much money is kept in the

Bellagio safe?

How many manholes are 3️⃣ there in San Fransisco, California?

Do you know

the answer to any of these questions? It doesn’t matter. Do you have 3️⃣ a good guess? Even

better - do you have a good guess about what your friend might guess? If so, 3️⃣ then you

can play Lodden Thinks.

Lodden Thinks is a proposition betting game that was invented

at the World Series of 3️⃣ Poker Europe by poker pros Phil Laak and Antonio Esfandiari in

the mid-2000s. According to Laak, the game was the 3️⃣ product of boredom. As the two

played together at a feature televised table, they found themselves repeating the same

old 3️⃣ tired cliched banter to one another. Esfandiari told Laak “we need to come up with

new material.” Laak thought about 3️⃣ it for a bit, and he came up with an idea. He’d come

up with a question for Johnny Lodden, 3️⃣ another popular poker professional who was at the

table with them, and then Laak and Esfandiari would bet on what 3️⃣ Lodden would think the

answer was. The actual answer to the question was irrelevant. Nobody needed to look it

up 3️⃣ or check it. In fact, the harder an answer was to check, the better, because it

lessened the possibility that 3️⃣ Lodden would know the actual answer and would have to

draw upon some other knowledge or information to come up 3️⃣ with a guess. Before long the

two were having more fun playing “Lodden Thinks” than playing poker, and the game

3️⃣ caught on at tournaments and poker tables around the world.

The rules are simple. First

you come up with a question 3️⃣ with a numerical answer. The more obscure and difficult to

know, the better. Then the two people involved in the 3️⃣ bet then hold an over/under

auction. One person suggests a number they think the “Lodden”, in this case a third

3️⃣ person who is not involved in the bet, will answer. The other person then can either

accept the “under”, meaning 3️⃣ they will bet that the “Lodden” will say something below

that number, or they can bid a new number that 3️⃣ is higher. After they bid a higher

number, the first person can accept the “under” or bid an even higher 3️⃣ number. The

players keep bidding until one of them accepts the “under,” ceding the “over” to the

person who bid 3️⃣ the number. Then they ask their “Lodden” the question, hear their

answer, and settle up the bet.

What makes “Lodden Thinks” 3️⃣ fun is that in order to make

a good bet, you need to utilize as much psychology and prior knowledge 3️⃣ of your “Lodden”

as you can. If your “Lodden” is a stranger, then you need to consider how that person

3️⃣ might think based on what little information you have about them - their clothes, their

age, their gender, etc.

In this 3️⃣ way, “Lodden Thinks” involves a lot of the skills that

makes poker such a dynamic and fun game. It’s important 3️⃣ to get a good read on someone,

but even a solid read won’t guarantee victory. There’s still a little bit 3️⃣ of luck

involved.

“Lodden Thinks” also employs an auction-style of over/under line setting, so

another skill important to winning is setting 3️⃣ a good line for yourself. It can be

stressful sometimes trying to feel out where your opponent would like the 3️⃣ line to be

and not going over it and giving them the over they want. The best spots are when 3️⃣ you

and your opponent are far out of whack with each other’s estimates, and you can grab a

good side 3️⃣ of the line for yourself and your opinion. But again, even then, Lodden can

screw it all up for you.

Laak 3️⃣ and Esfandiari usually play “Lodden Thinks” for one

hundred dollars a question, but some high rollers have played for much 3️⃣ more. On Season

6 of Poker After Dark, the players get involved in some high stakes “Lodden Thinks”

atR$1,000 a 3️⃣ question. At one point Phil Ivey and Doyle Brunson betR$10,000 on how old

Daniel Negreanu thinks Clint Eastwood is. Phil 3️⃣ Hellmuth remarks that it’s the biggest

“Lodden Thinks” bet he’s ever seen. (Ivey wins by taking under 74. Negreanu went 3️⃣ for

73.)

The other thing that’s fun about “Lodden Thinks” is coming up with amusing

questions. Again, the more obscure and 3️⃣ unknowable, the better in my opinion. Someone

could easily know how old Clint Eastwood is. If you want to figure 3️⃣ out how someone

might guess at how many cars there are at the bottom of Lake Michigan, you’d need to

3️⃣ really get inside your “Lodden’s” head to figure out how they will try to figure out

the answer. One of 3️⃣ my favorite questions I’ve heard came from a table with Shaun Deeb

at the Seminole Hard Rock: “What’s the total 3️⃣ number of people that have been murdered

by the current population of this casino right now?” You can imagine how 3️⃣ the discussion

around the bidding for that one went.

“If you play a lot you start noticing human

patterns,” Laak told 3️⃣ Epic Poker. “You start picking up edge before the game even

starts.” Laak says that the more you play, the 3️⃣ better idea you’ll have about how people

will guess on questions that revolve around certain themes. So like most gambling

3️⃣ games, experience and practice helps.

So the question that remains is, what does Johnny

Lodden think about Lodden Thinks? In interviews 3️⃣ he has said that he had a lot of fun

playing the game at first, but that Antonio Esfandiari has 3️⃣ taken the game to a whole

new level, playing it wherever he goes as often as he can. “I’ve played 3️⃣ with Antonio a

bunch and I’ve never seen him lose,” Lodden said. “That’s why it’s still running. He’s

hustling everyone.”

6 3️⃣ SIMPLE STEPS TO LEARNING LODDEN THINKS

1. Designate someone to be

"Johnny Lodden"

2. Ask that person any question with a numerical 3️⃣ answer and have them

write down their guess.

3. Propose a number you think they wrote down.

4. Your opponent

can either 3️⃣ propose a higher number or "call" your bet.

5. Once someone "calls," reveal

"Johnny's" guess.

6. Whoever was called has to be 3️⃣ under "Johnny's" guess to win. If

they are over, they lose and the person who called wins.

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