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Originally Posted by Mr Rick

First of all I have a lot of respect for you from your

posts. I'm guessing 🍊 you will be a solid winning player over time.

I have had downswings

that have lasted over a year. Since 2012 🍊 I have averaged over 90 live tournaments a

year, typically in theR$300 toR$600 range but I do play WSOP Seniors 🍊 events and the

WSOP Main twice.

What I do now, especially when I am in a downswing, is look at how 🍊 my

all-ins are faring against both the odds of surviving and against the pot odds.

So for

example if I am 🍊 in a tourney late and I lose a flip it is different to me if I have

survived other all-in 🍊 flips or if this is my first. In other words were my chances of

overall survival up to that point 🍊 ~%50 or more like 1% to 2%?

In one tournament in Las

Vegas I had 1 all-in where I was a 🍊 70% favorite to win. And I had just lost KK to A9s

for over 2/3 of my stack. While I 🍊 was upset that I hadn't gone deep I understood that I

couldn't have played much better.

But in most tournaments my 🍊 chances of surviving

before I get knocked out are usually between 10% and 20%.

I now look at this two ways.

🍊 The first is that it is difficult to run very very deep. So I take it with a grain of

🍊 salt when I get knocked out in like 10th. The second is that I need to improve my game

in 🍊 the beginning of tournaments so that I will either double up or more early rather

than waiting until later.

Don't know 🍊 if this is helpful or not. But I do think the

positive thing is that you are +EV!