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Even the smallest, most insignificant details are also important. On which goal will the players shoot? Fans of which team will sit behind that goal? Which team is in a better mental state at the moment of the penalties?
Surely, everybody remembers the 2005 Champions League Final and Liverpool’s historic triumph in the penalty shoot-out. Would it be possible if the course of the match was different? After the first 45 minutes, the only thing that Milan players were thinking about was the destination they will chose for their holidays. The Italians were crushing Liverpool and only a madman could have predicted that The Reds will level the scores. But it happened. With the roaring support from their fans, Liverpool scored three goals and after the extra time, there was a 3:3 draw. Every non-Milan fan supported the English side in the penalties. Italians were both afraid and shocked because of what have happened. After their fantastic comeback, Steven Gerrard and his Liverpool team gained a massive psychological advantage before the penalties, which they had to use to win the trophy.
An interesting observation was made by the English scientists. Based on their studies, they determined that a team that begins the penalty shoot-out have 60% chances of winning it in the end. Why is that? There is theoretically less pressure put on the first players that shoot the penalties. If they will not convert their penalty, in the worst case there will still be a draw. From the other hand, the player ending the penalties, in the best case can level the scores (given that no one before him missed a penalty).
To confirm this, the scientists have made a study among the players from lower English leagues - on the question whether they would want to start or end the penalty shoot-out, 100 / 100 answered they would want to take the first penalty.
Best example? In the final of the 1986 European Cup edition (the predecessor of the UEFA Champions League) FC Barcelona played on the Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium, Steaua Bucuresti. The Catalan club was an obvious favourite but after the 120 minutes there was a goalless draw and the winner had to be determined via penalties. The Romanian side was picked to begin the shoot-out. Dismayed Barcelona stars were unable to convert a single penalty and beat Helmuth Duckadam. Romanian goalkeeper saved a record number of 4 shots and his team was victorious.
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