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I think we can all agree there isn’t anything sexier in poker than a big overbet. (If there is, let 🎅 me know what in the comments below.)

From the early days of high stakes online poker, the overbet was first popularized 🎅 by online legends like Tom Dwan and Dan “Jungleman” Cates.

The strategy behind overbetting was pretty crude back when it first 🎅 started gaining popularity. But as time progressed, talented players have helped refine overbetting into a more exact science.

Now in the 🎅 modern era of solvers, Upswing is taking the strategy behind optimal overbetting to an even higher level with coach Daniel 🎅 “dougiedan678” McAulay’s new “Turn C-bet: Overbetting” learning module.

This module goes into amazing detail on everything you need to know about 🎅 how to master turn overbetting, but in this preview I wanted to give you some of the basic concepts taken 🎅 from the course.

In the following sections, I’ll go over 3 basic questions about overbetting on turns:

Why do we overbet?

When do 🎅 we overbet?

How much do we overbet?

Remember, this article is only scratching the surface. If you’re serious about mastering the turn 🎅 overbet, check out the full 3-hour learning module in the Upswing Lab.

Let’s get started!

Why Do We Overbet on the Turn?

We’ve 🎅 already established that overbetting is really cool, so let’s go over why you might want to overbet in a given 🎅 situation.

Here are the primary upsides to overbetting on the turn:

We get more value with our strong hands.

We get to bluff 🎅 with a higher proportion of our range (see: Minimum Defense Frequency).

We force our opponent to fold more, and this means 🎅 they realize less equity.

Most of the time our opponents will be reluctant to raise vs an overbet (which is correct 🎅 on their part). This allows us to realize more equity by always getting to see the river while also being 🎅 in position. It also allows us to control the size of the pot going into the river.

When to Overbet on 🎅 the Turn

Some of the reasons for why to overbet are pretty intuitive. But many players struggle with is knowing when 🎅 to overbet and how much to overbet.

There are three main scenarios where overbetting is appropriate:

When have the nut advantage (more 🎅 very strong hands than our opponent). When our opponents range is capped (in other words, he has no/few very strong 🎅 hands). When the turn (or river) card is a brick.

Scenario 1 example:

We are on the Button facing the Big Blind 🎅 in a single raised pot. The flop comes A♣ K♥ 6♦ and our c-bet gets called. The turn comes the 🎅 2♣.

In this case, both players can have hands like A6, K6, 66, and A2. However, because the big blind did 🎅 not 3-bet us preflop, we know he cannot have the very best hands (AA, AK, and KK). Meanwhile, we can 🎅 have all of these hands in our range, along with 3 combinations of 22 for a turned set.

This all gives 🎅 a significant nut advantage over our opponent and makes for a great overbet spot.

Scenario 2 example:

The hand from scenario 1 🎅 can also be used to describe scenario 2, but let’s elaborate a little further.

Oftentimes on flops, players will check-raise with 🎅 the very top of their range, which sometimes can leave them exposed to having a capped range on some turns.

Let’s 🎅 consider A♣ K♥ 6♦ 2♣, again. We already know that we have the nut advantage. But on top of that, 🎅 we can assume that some of the strongest hands in our opponent’s range (like 66) are often going to be 🎅 check-raised on the flop.

Suppose that we know our opponent will check-raise 66 and most of his two-pair hands on the 🎅 flop. If that’s the case, his turn range after check-calling is largely capped to the odd number of A2 combos 🎅 he might have.

Given this, we can go to town with a very aggressive selection of turn overbets with our value 🎅 hands and bluffs. This allows us to apply maximum pressure to our opponent.

Scenario 3 example:

When it comes to overbetting brick 🎅 turns, let’s mix things up and change the board to 7♥ 4♦ 2♠ with the Q♣ falling on the turn.

The 🎅 brick turn concept will most often apply to situations like this, where the flop is all low cards and the 🎅 turn peels off a random high card that doesn’t make many two-pair combos for our opponent.

Since our opponent is likely 🎅 folding hands like Q2o, Q4o, and Q7o preflop, the Q♣ is a brick for his range. Granted, he can have 🎅 some combos of suited hands like Q♠ 4♠, but those make up a very small part of his range.

You could 🎅 also look at this spot from the perspective that the Q♣ mostly improves our range. This is because we have 🎅 a large number of Qx overcard hands that bet flop (like QJ/QT), in addition to a number of other value 🎅 hands that aren’t phased by this turn (like KK or 22).

Whatever way you choose to look at it, this is 🎅 another great overbet spot.

How Much to Overbet

It’s not uncommon among great players to see overbets ranging in size from anywhere 🎅 between 125%-300% pot. Sometimes even more.

Given that there are so many sizing options, the question of “how much to overbet?” 🎅 is in large part why this new overbetting module in the Upswing Lab is so valuable.

Getting into all the nuances 🎅 of overbet sizings is outside the scope of this article, but here are some basic tips for choosing how much 🎅 to overbet:

The bigger our nut advantage, the bigger we can overbet

On boards where we are the only player that can 🎅 have the nuts, we can theoretically bet all-in regardless of stack depth (even if it’s 10 times the pot).

Optimal turn 🎅 overbet sizes will largely come down to board textures. A-high boards, broadway boards, middling boards, paired boards, and monotone boards 🎅 can potentially have very different optimal sizes.

These quick tips are sure to make you print money with your overbet sizings.

Final 🎅 Thoughts

I want to re-emphasize one last time that we’ve only scratched the surface of overbetting in this article. There are 🎅 so many more interesting principles to discuss on this topic like range-construction, blockers, betting rivers after overbetting the turn etc.

With 🎅 all this in mind, I again encourage you to check out the full module yourselves in the Upswing Lab.

In the 🎅 meantime, we’d love to hear from you. What has been your experience with overbetting, and what kinds of factors are 🎅 you considering when you’re setting up a big turn overbet?

As always I’ll be happy to respond to any questions in 🎅 the comments section below. Until next time, good luck at the tables!

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