The number of bets is less than a Super Yankee / Canadian and yet the return will be
much greater 9️⃣ if you get all five winners
An Alternative To The Canadian Bet
Last week
an Each Way Yankee consisting of FlatStats top 9️⃣ rated horses found four winners. This
week a bet consisting of five horses found five winners.
The horses (again selected
from 9️⃣ the FlatStats value ratings) were placed in a Sweet Sixteen Multiple, which
consists of the following bets:
10 Trebles
5 Fourfolds
1 Accumulator
This 9️⃣ bet is
preferable to a Super Yankee / Canadian (which also has 5 selections) if the selections
are mostly short 9️⃣ priced favourites. In this situation it is not worth placing doubles
and thus the minimum bets will be the trebles. 9️⃣ Of course you now need to have three
winners for there to be a return, but if the odds are 9️⃣ that short it is very likely that
a return will be had.
This bet was placed on Betfair. They do not 9️⃣ have a ready made
ticket for a Sweet Sixteen so the trebles, fourfolds and accumulator were selected with
a unit 9️⃣ stake of £2.
Betfair Multiple Bet: £2 Sweet Sixteen
This shows the odds return
from the five horse accumulator (average level odds 9️⃣ of 70.25) and the total return for
the whole bet (£741.22), which includes the fourfolds and the trebles.
After deducting
the 9️⃣ stake the net profit for this bet on Betfair was £709.22. If the bet was placed in
the bookies the 9️⃣ net profit would have been £649.00. This gives a Betfair advantage over
SP of around 9%.
Betfair Advantage
The advantage is not 9️⃣ that great for this particular
bet because the Betfair SP of the individual horses was not that much greater than 9️⃣ the
bookies SP.
Horse SP BSP Adv% Pawprints 1.57 1.61 1% Suivez L'Aargent 3.5 3.65 1%
Surely Speightful 1.44 1.52 11% 9️⃣ Our Boy Jack 2.75 2.94 5% Dutch Rose 2.88 3.07 5%
One
of Betfair's advertising slogans is that "you get 20% 9️⃣ better odds with Betfair". That
may be true but it is an average, which can vary depending on the odds. 9️⃣ Shorter priced
runners such as the above will not have that much of an advantage. Horses priced in
double figures 9️⃣ will have an advantage much higher.
Sweet Sixteen Bets: Playing the Long
Game
This is a good bet for favourites. The number 9️⃣ of bets is less than a Super Yankee
/ Canadian and yet the return will be much greater if you 9️⃣ get all five winners (1).
At
this time of year with many small field races, consistent going and with the form
9️⃣ settled down there will be plenty of favourites to choose from. Some of the favourites
may be odds-on but don't 9️⃣ be fooled into thinking odds-on = no value. A horse can be
value whatever the odds say.
Why not Subscribe Today 9️⃣ and start using the FlatStats
ratings. You can use them to find value favourites. Just read the comments on the
9️⃣ ratings page for favourites that are also top rated.
Related Articles and Resources
(1)
£2 Sweet Sixteen with five winners at SP 9️⃣ returned £681. A comparable £1.23 Canadian
returned £489.40. Returns do not include any all correct bonus, which some bookies may
9️⃣ offer.
Article created 25-May-12. Stats may have changed since.
