The number of bets is less than a Super Yankee / Canadian and yet the return will be
much greater6️⃣ if you get all five winners
An Alternative To The Canadian Bet
Last week
an Each Way Yankee consisting of FlatStats top6️⃣ rated horses found four winners. This
week a bet consisting of five horses found five winners.
The horses (again selected
from6️⃣ the FlatStats value ratings) were placed in a Sweet Sixteen Multiple, which
consists of the following bets:
10 Trebles
5 Fourfolds
1 Accumulator
This6️⃣ bet is
preferable to a Super Yankee / Canadian (which also has 5 selections) if the selections
are mostly short6️⃣ priced favourites. In this situation it is not worth placing doubles
and thus the minimum bets will be the trebles.6️⃣ Of course you now need to have three
winners for there to be a return, but if the odds are6️⃣ that short it is very likely that
a return will be had.
This bet was placed on Betfair. They do not6️⃣ have a ready made
ticket for a Sweet Sixteen so the trebles, fourfolds and accumulator were selected with
a unit6️⃣ stake of £2.
Betfair Multiple Bet: £2 Sweet Sixteen
This shows the odds return
from the five horse accumulator (average level odds6️⃣ of 70.25) and the total return for
the whole bet (£741.22), which includes the fourfolds and the trebles.
After deducting
the6️⃣ stake the net profit for this bet on Betfair was £709.22. If the bet was placed in
the bookies the6️⃣ net profit would have been £649.00. This gives a Betfair advantage over
SP of around 9%.
Betfair Advantage
The advantage is not6️⃣ that great for this particular
bet because the Betfair SP of the individual horses was not that much greater than6️⃣ the
bookies SP.
Horse SP BSP Adv% Pawprints 1.57 1.61 1% Suivez L'Aargent 3.5 3.65 1%
Surely Speightful 1.44 1.52 11%6️⃣ Our Boy Jack 2.75 2.94 5% Dutch Rose 2.88 3.07 5%
One
of Betfair's advertising slogans is that "you get 20%6️⃣ better odds with Betfair". That
may be true but it is an average, which can vary depending on the odds.6️⃣ Shorter priced
runners such as the above will not have that much of an advantage. Horses priced in
double figures6️⃣ will have an advantage much higher.
Sweet Sixteen Bets: Playing the Long
Game
This is a good bet for favourites. The number6️⃣ of bets is less than a Super Yankee
/ Canadian and yet the return will be much greater if you6️⃣ get all five winners (1).
At
this time of year with many small field races, consistent going and with the form
6️⃣ settled down there will be plenty of favourites to choose from. Some of the favourites
may be odds-on but don't6️⃣ be fooled into thinking odds-on = no value. A horse can be
value whatever the odds say.
Why not Subscribe Today6️⃣ and start using the FlatStats
ratings. You can use them to find value favourites. Just read the comments on the
6️⃣ ratings page for favourites that are also top rated.
Related Articles and Resources
(1)
£2 Sweet Sixteen with five winners at SP6️⃣ returned £681. A comparable £1.23 Canadian
returned £489.40. Returns do not include any all correct bonus, which some bookies may
6️⃣ offer.
Article created 25-May-12. Stats may have changed since.
