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What live stakes are you playing?

5BB/100 is not a crusher at 50NL, solid win rate, but

definitely not a crusher. 🫦 At higher online stakes sure, but 50NL you can definitely

beat for higher win rates, the thing is most people 🫦 who can, move up.

The conventional

wisdom I've always heard from pros and coaches is in most public games up to 🫦 5/10

sometimes higher a win rate of 10BB/hr is pretty achievable for a strong player. Which

is like 30BB/100.

The confusion 🫦 I'm having about your confusion is you claiming to not

see many fish, because that's the answer. Your average room's 🫦 2/5 players are

exponentially worse than basically any sites 50NL population. Compared to your 50NL

experience, you're not seeing wayyyyyy 🫦 fewer 3-bets, check raises, bluffs, etc? A very

significant portion of the LLS population is playing very simple strategies with 🫦 little

to no basis in good theory. It changes a little bit at 5/10 and higher, but also

remember the 🫦 best live cash players are invited and creating good games where these

astronomical win rates are still possible at much 🫦 higher stakes. Plenty people in the

world makingR$250K+ a year and have no problem losingR$10K-$25K playing a few times a

🫦 year.

The reasons players are way worse in live games:

- Online is much faster, the

losing players lose faster and then 🫦 eventually quit faster.

- Live is slow enough they

can ignore the results. Most people are pretty bad at budgetting. You 🫦 go to a live 1/2

table and the vast majority will claim "I'm a break even to small winner." In 🫦 reality

90% of them aren't winning at all. But especially if you play once a week or less, it's

easy 🫦 to not notice how much you're actually losing.

- People who are prone to the

"online is rigged" thing tend to 🫦 be worse players and prefer to play live.

- People who

play online are more likely to be motivated by actually 🫦 winning long term whereas live

players have a wider range of draws to the game -- they like socializing at 🫦 the table,

they feel like live poker is cool whereas online poker is for nerds, they stumbled in

drunk from 🫦 the pits or the club, they're on vacation or a work trip, etc.

-

Recreational players want to play for money 🫦 that at some level feels significant when

they win, and for most it seems like 1/2 2/5 does the trick 🫦 for that. But online if

you're a dedicated grinder you can make serious money at those stakes, so the recs 🫦 do

not stand a chance. They would have to play 10NL probably to even be sort of

competitive and to 🫦 them that feels like play money.

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