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A case card in poker is the last card of a certain rank remaining in the deck. This

means that 🛡 the other three cards of that rank have either been dealt or exposed at some

point earlier in the hand.

For 🛡 example, imagine we hold an Ace on a AAx flop in

Hold’em. There is only one ace left in the 🛡 deck that can give us quads, the case

Ace.

In this guide we’ll learn the following -

What Does it Mean to 🛡 Draw to a Case Card

in Poker?

If we are drawing to a case card it essentially means that we only 🛡 have one

out left in the deck that can complete our draw. Drawing to case cards is a bad thing

🛡 because it means we are going to miss in the vast majority of cases. A common example

is having a 🛡 dominated three of a kind and needing to hit the last remaining card of a

certain rank to make quads 🛡 and win the pot.

Will we Always Know if We are Drawing to

the Case Card?

Sometimes we might think we have 🛡 two outs to improve (for example we

hold two aces and need to improve to three of a kind) but 🛡 it turns out that another

player folded one of our outs earlier on in the hand. We are technically drawing 🛡 to the

case ace but have no way of knowing there aren’t still two aces in the deck. In

televised 🛡 poker, the commentators may have seen that the ace was folded earlier in the

hand and correctly realise that a 🛡 player is drawing to the case ace even though the

player himself has no idea.

What Does it Mean to ‘Catch 🛡 the Case Ace’ in

Poker?

Catching the case Ace means we hit the last available ace in the deck. For

example, 🛡 we hold three of a kind aces in Hold’em but are currently losing to a full

house. If we hit 🛡 the last remaining ace in the deck to make quads this is known as

‘catching the case ace’.

How Likely is 🛡 it to Catch a Case Card?

Catching a case card is

very unlikely in Hold’em. From flop to turn 2.1% of 🛡 the time. From turn to river 2.2%

of the time. And from flop to river 4.3% of the time. Basically, 🛡 don’t count on it,

it’s probably not going to happen.

Summary

Drawing to case cards is usually not

favorable since we are 🛡 extremely unlikely to hit. As poker players we should always be

aware of when it is worth drawing and when 🛡 it is not. Chasing unlikely events is a good

way to lose a lot of chips.