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Went to showdown (WTSD) and Won money at showdown (W$SD) are two inversely correlated

indicators in online poker which can 💸 be used to read your opponents’ behavior after the

flop. As the percentage of hands a player goes to showdown 💸 with (WTSD) increases, the

percentage of the hands he actually wins (W$SD) goes down (more hands=less quality).

Use these poker 💸 HUD stats to figure out the probable strength of an opponent’s holding

after the flop.

If you play against somebody with 💸 a high WTSD you should be

relentlessly value betting – your opponent is a calling station and will pay off 💸 your

good hands. Conversely when you are against a player with low WTSD and high W$SD and he

bets you 💸 strongly on the river – fold your marginal hands without thinking twice.

Both

indicators converge relatively slowly and I wouldn’t put 💸 much trust in them before I

have at least 500 hands on a player.

Your own WTSD will vary according to 💸 your style,

but optimal range is considered to be between 25 and 35. Opponents with WTSD at 20 and

below 💸 should be bluffed non-stop and the 40+ you should definitely bet for value. Have

in mind that for shorter tables 💸 this HUD stat will be slightly higher.

W$SD is around

50-60% for most players. It will be higher for tighter players 💸 and lower for looser

ones. Don’t forget that it actually shows the % of won pots but not how much 💸 money is

won – a player win W$SD above 50 is not necessarily a winning one.

Examples using

WTSD

/For sake of 💸 simplicity we’ll assume all opponents have stacks of about

100BB/

Full ring table, we are UTG (under the gun – first 💸 to act) and we hold AKo. We

make a raise of 4xBB and everyone folds to the BB who calls. 💸 The flop comes 5 6 K of

different suits, obviously a great flop for us. The BB checks. Do we 💸 check or bet?

Let’s look at the stats.

a) VPIP=15 / PFR=8 / WTSD=21

We can’t win much by betting here

– 💸 the opponent will most likely fold. There is no danger of overpairs, flush or likely

straight draws, so we should 💸 check and give him a chance to improve to the second best

hand or bluff his money away.

It is a 💸 good idea also to look up the villain’s Fold to

C-Bet percentage – sometimes players insist on defending against C-Betting 💸 to an

irrational degree and if such is the case, you can make a small bet on the flop (let’s

💸 say 1/3-1/2 of the pot), have it called, check the turn and over-bet the river making

it look like a 💸 bluff.

b) VPIP=28 / PFR=5 / WTSD=44

This is a good place to value bet –

your opponent is loose and passive. 💸 To bet about half the pot seems correct – you don’t

want to chaise him away here.

Examples using both WTSD 💸 and W$SD

/For sake of simplicity

we’ll assume all opponents have stacks of about 100BB/

Let’s consider a situation

similar to the 💸 previous one.

Once again, we are UTG at a full ring table and we hold

AKo. We make a raise of 💸 4xBB and everyone folds to the BB who calls. Flop comes 5 6 K

of different suits. The BB checks, 💸 we bet half the pot, he calls. The turn is a 9 of

the forth suit, which removes the possibility 💸 of a flush but completes a straight. He

checks, we bet 2/3 the pot and the opponent again just calls. 💸 On the river comes a 10

and the opponent bets the size of the pot, thus giving us 2 to 💸 1 on a call. What do we

do?

a) VPIP=15 / PFR=8 / WTSD=21, W$SD=68

Well, statistically we are beaten. Our hand

💸 is basically a bluff catcher at this point and this guy doesn’t seem to bluff on the

river. Fold and 💸 save yourself some money.

b) VPIP=28 / PFR=5 / WTSD=44, W$SD=32

As far

as the betting sequence went, we have a marginal 💸 hand at best. However our opponent is

exactly the kind of loose-weak player to call in such a situation. The 💸 pot odds of 2/1

and his losing record from similar situations should make this a call with positive

expectancy.

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